27-Feb-2009 Short Term Calls

As Government has given more stimulus packages for Textile and diamond industries, Our Fiscal Deficit is reached 300,000 Cr for this year. Government is concentrating on getting more votes and our GDP is dropping day by day. Everything is becoming very cheap and people are feeling happiness about it. but nothing to smile in it, We will see all effect after election when our Nifty will reach 2180.
Effects of more stimulus packages
- Stock market will go in negative direction because government will announce package when there is critical situation.
- GDP is going towards 5.Expected GDP for 2009-10 will be 5 and same for 2008-09 should be 6.
- Fiscal deficit is increasing so we have to face problem when new ruling government will come and they will take some different action.
- don't invest money for long time now. If you want to invest then invest it for election time as we will see some rally before and after election.
- Rupee is becoming very low ( 1$ => INR 50.6)

Today's call
- Nifty will not go below 2500 now. It will rebound from it.
- Exit GOLD (We can see $900 level soon) - Maximum it can go $967
- Hold Educomp for target 1800. ( Buy call given yesterday@ 1500 )
- Buy Aban Offshore on deeps. It will bounce back after election. (It may touch 290 - If you can take some risk and hold for 2 year)
- Don't buy Punj Llyod as it can touch 72.
- Exit Bharat Forge ( Target Achieved 90 - today trading @ 91.7)
- Hold Powergrid for Target 102 ( SL 91 )
- buy LIC housing @ 197/195 ( You can hold it for 2 to 3 months)
- Buy MCLEOD RUSSEL for target 53: Long term target 64 (follow target strictly)
- Ranbaxy: Buy @ 148 ( Not today but it should come there if 156.8 level breaks)

Trading Calls 26-Feb-2009

We can see more ups and downs in Share becase
- Today is Expiry time
- From next month onwards, Lot size is increased and that's why we have seen very less rollovers.

Today's Calls
- Sell DLF 155 Intradat target1 149, target2 145 ==> Target Achieved.
- Buy Satyam @ 45/46, Shortterm/Delivery target 51 ( Watch and wait...if you have passion then you can get 50% return in 3 months-wait till auction and election)
- Buy Bharat Forge, Delivery Target 90 SL 72 ==> Target Achieved in 1 day only
- Sell Educomp Target 1500 ==> Target Achieved
- Buy Apollo Tyre @ 15 for Target 18 (Delivery) : Stock is @ bottom
- Buy Spicejet @ 13 or down for short term target 18
- Buy GVK Power @ 16/17 for Target 21.

Impress Major Vote Bank - Stimulus package

Ruling government is playing with normal voters' , in political language - Aam Aadmi, sentiments.
- They didn't introduce any rate cut in interim budget as opposition may take/speak against any rate cut action.
- Now they have started giving packages like Excise Rate cut, Service Tax rate cut. In short they are giving facility to Aam Aadmi(Major Vote bank) before election.
- Country is falling in collecting their income this year and they have introduced more tax cut. It means we will short more money.
- Ruling government policies: Take all action to ease "aam Aadmi" life and put all burdon on country. They have increased our country's debt substantially. It will have very bad effect in a long run but all politician thinks for present situations and their seats in parliament.

What should you do?
- Expect major up movement in Stock Market as cement, steel and tyre companies are going to get good benefit out of it so all real estate, infrastructure, power companies will have great profit this/next quarter.
- But Sugar stock will face some hurdle as Government may reduce or zero Import duty on sugar due to shortage in sugarcane production this year.

Todays Trading Calls

- Sell Aptech for target 70 ( SL 77)
- Buy ABB for Target 406 (SL 373)
- Sell Triveni engg. Target 36 (SL 43)

Short Term Trading Calls

- Nifty may touch Oct lows today or tomorrow.
- Don't Buy anything if you are a trader and also if you are investor please wait till 2 months.
- Nifty target next target 2500 ( In short time ), SENSEX will see 7417 level in 1 month as recession is creating major problem in US. DOW/NASDAQ are on 12 years low level so this downturn won't leave indian/asian markets also.

Short Term Call
- Sugar sector is looking very weak so one should short it. If you have some long position in it then please don't wait for Expiry. Balrampur chini, Bajaj Hind are one of the biggest weak stock on chart.
- RIL will go to 1170 level soon.
- BANK stocks are looking very very weak major looser will be ICICI Bank, HDFC bank, PNB. SBI can touch 1012 level.
- Aban Offshore: One of the weakest stock today. Short it in opening bell and you will have handsome money in your hand. Short term Target 316.
- RCOM: Weakest in Telecom sector. Target 128

Today's Trading call
- Sell AXIS Bank: Target 359, SL 379
- Short Balarampur Chini
- Short ICICI Bank
- Buy NTPC if it will go 5% down. It can't go below 73
- Short Aban Offshore
- Short RIL
- Buy IDFC around 49
- Sell Bajaj hindustan

RBI may cut Interest Rate and LIC will pour money into Market

As this week inflation data declared, which is showing that things are getting worst and still demand is not increased, So RBI has a scope to cut more interest rates and all PSU ad Private sector bank should follow same step to keep Inflation stable. In my view, If inflation is going more down then think that we are becoming more and more worst. As yesterday and today Trading data shows More US and EU investors has invested amount in All emerging Asian Market except India. Its indication that they don't trust corporate structure.
In that case what should be your strategy?
- Don't buy anything for long time. Investor should wait for next full budget 2009/10.
- Peek strong looking companies having great track record like Exide Industries which didn't fall with market...
- Don't go short randomly at least for next 3 to 4 weeks as we will see Interest Rate cut and will see more LIC investment in indian market. But take time to find some LIC investment pattern. LIC could invest more in L&T and 2 to 3 PSU banks.
- Hold or Buy Dena bank below 31 for target of 42 before election.
- Don't enter into GOLD at this level otehrwise you will be trapped.
- OIL will consolidate @ 32 and we will see some demand increments in same.
- Buy 2 wheeler auto stock like Hero Honda, TVS motors on deeps...

Tomorrow's Call (Market will be in -ve direction tomorrow)
- Sell RCOM with target of 5% down
- Buy DLF PUT 150 @ 10/11 for target 18/19
- Buy Suzlon Energy below 42
- Sell RIL below 1231
- Buy LIC housing below 200 and hold for 3 to 4 sessions
- Buy Ashok Leyland for short term

Trading Strategy For 19-FEB

As Obama signs $787 billion stimulus package, DOW and NASDAQ Futures started showing some +ve movement today.

Some Trading tips for Tomorrow*
- Buy MOSERBAER @ 55: Target 58 (Intraday)
- Buy FEB DLF CALL 150 @ 9: Target 12 (Intraday)
- Buy FEB MININIFTY CALL 2900 @ 9: Target 15 (Intraday)
*Notice: Do above trading if DOW/NASDAQ ends Positive and INDIAN market opens +VE.

- Buy FEB DLF PUT 150 @ 10: Target 21 (Not Intraday*)
*Notice: Do above trading if DOW/NASDAQ ends negative and INDIAN market opens -VE.

Long Term Calls - Our Best Pick For 2009-10

- Educomp (A Perfect Recession Proof Company): Target 4130 (1 year - almost 100% returns)
- Aban Offshore: Target 1107 ( 1 Year - Almost 130% Returns - Negatively crashed stock
)
- IDFC (My Favorite): Target 98 (1 Year - Almost 80% return - Safe company to invest in)
- LIC Housing Finance (Best Among Housing Finance): Target 330 (No chance of going below 199 - Below 205 Buy in Load for 1 Year)
- Suzlon Energy - Target 108 (Best Indian company to get compensation of US Package)
*Note: Please stay invested at least for 1 year

Exit All Rail Stock

Take an Exit Call in Rail Budget Related Stock as They will come Down.
Example: Kalindee Rail, Titagruh wagons, Kernex, etc...

Best Tips For 13-Feb

You may see some upward movement today.
- Buy ANSAL PROPERTIES above 29.57 for intraday target of 33
- Buy ITI India above 17.3 for intraday target of 10% upper ckt. Hold this stock till interim budget.
- Buy DLF Call 150 around 10/11 for the target of 15/16.

Intraday Tips For 11-Feb-2009

Buy
---
Educomp => Buy above 1924 with intraday Target 2165
DLF => Buy above 154.65 with intraday Target 164
RELIANCE => Buy above 1421 with intraday Target 1456

SELL
----
GMR Infra => Sell below 78 with intraday Target 73
SAIL => Sell below 85.8 with intraday Target 82
RELIANCE => Sell below 1390 with intraday Target 1348

NIFTY
-----
=> Sell below 2880, Target 2540
OR
=> Buy above 2948, Target 3002

Economics Times: Top 20 Best Companies to Work For

Stock Market Trading Tips

1. Do not over trade - If your trading capacity is Rs. 100,000 then avoid using margin and infact trade with 75,000 only.
2. Diversification- One should diversify his portfolio, invest in different sectors.
3. Buy when vibes are not good that is when stocks are on decline in other words buy at bad news. Sell when prices are high that is when there is good news.
4. Have realistic targets - Don't think of making millions in one single trade/day. Market will open daily have realistic targets in your mind and trade with patience.
5. Stoploss - Always follow stoploss(SL). Don’t be afraid of loosing sometime that is also learning experience. Don't be an optimistic about specific stock.
6. Strategy - Don't cut positions in loss before stoploss and don’t exit in minor profit before target. Always wait for target.
7. Don’t always think of buying at low price and sell at higher price. Do not be afraid to buy at high price and sell at lower price.
8. Sell when everyone is buying and Buy when every one is selling.
9. Don’t be a buyer or seller always, Work as per market trend. Always follow market trend.
10. Take Long positions only in companies having strong fundamentally. For short term position find some good stock from speculation point of view.